Blog Posts by Pardee RAND Faculty

The Long Game on Infrastructure
Feb 20, 2018
Debra Knopman, Martin Wachs
The Trump administration recently announced its Legislative Outline for Rebuilding Infrastructure in America. But with its lack of new federal funding, write Profs. Debra Knopman and Martin Wachs, the plan may not be the best path to fixing America's most serious regional, national and long-term problems.
Where Will ISIS Seek to Establish Its Next Safe Haven?
Feb 19, 2018
Colin P. Clarke @ColinPClarke
Many of ISIS's surviving fighters will seek out new battlefields to continue waging jihad, writes Prof. Colin Clarke. By coordinating with its allies around the globe, the U.S. could work to help alleviate the conditions that lead states to fail, making them less appealing as sanctuaries where terrorists can rest, rearm, and recuperate.
How Will Cannabis Legalization Affect Alcohol Consumption?
Feb 13, 2018
Beau Kilmer @BeauKilmer, Rosanna Smart @RosannaSmart
How will legalization of recreational marijuana affect alcohol consumption? Will drinking go down because people substitute cannabis for alcohol? Or will drinking go up because cannabis and alcohol complement each other? Prof. Beau Kilmer says these questions have important implications.
The Diminishing Role of Facts in American Public Life
Jan 17, 2018
Michael D. Rich @michaeldrich, Jennifer Kavanagh @jekavanagh
Prof. Jennifer Kavanagh and RAND president Michael Rich write that, without agreement about objective facts and a common understanding of and respect for data and analytical interpretations of those data, it becomes nearly impossible to have the types of meaningful policy debates that form the foundation of democracy.
How Federal Policy Could Help Water and Wastewater Utilities
Jan 16, 2018
Debra Knopman, David Catt
The federal government could address the root causes of infrastructure problems more effectively than just spending money with the hope that it might do some good, write student David Catt (cohort '16) and Prof. Debra Knopman. A better approach might be to devote scarce resources to fixing what actually isn't working well in the nation's approach to managing, funding and financing infrastructure.
How the Pentagon Should Deter Cyber Attacks
Jan 10, 2018
Christopher Paul, Rand Waltzman
As cyber aggression gets worse and more brazen, writes Prof. Christopher Paul, the U.S. must figure out how to deter foreign actors in cyberspace as effectively as it does in nuclear and conventional warfare. He proposes five steps the Pentagon can take.
Fake Voices Will Become Worryingly Accurate
Jan 8, 2018
William Welser IV
New technology can convincingly fake the human voice and create security nightmares, writes Prof. Bill Welser. Considering the widespread distrust of the media, institutions and expert gatekeepers, audio fakery could be more than disruptive. It could start wars.
Why Political Risks May Dampen World Economies in 2018
Jan 7, 2018
Howard J. Shatz @HowardJShatz, William Courtney @courtneywmh
The world economy has reached its strongest point since the global financial crisis a decade ago, writes Prof. Howard Shatz. But rising political risks may cloud prospects in 2018 and perhaps beyond.
Book Review: 'Eye Corps: Coming of Age at the DMZ'
Jan 5, 2018
Dan Grunfeld
In reviewing a book his mentor wrote about coming of age in Vietnam, Executive Vice Dean Dan Grunfeld says the story is "powerful, thoughtful and engaging. ... The hard and expensive lessons of Walker's youth led to a big-hearted life, full of wisdom and generosity that touched so many."
Where Is Assad Getting His Fighters from?
Jan 4, 2018
Colin P. Clarke @ColinPClarke, Phillip Smyth
The Assad regime's defense against insurgents in Syria's ongoing civil war is being provided by forces imported from Afghanistan and Pakistan as well as Lebanon and Iraq, writes Prof. Colin Clarke. Most of these fighters are being trained and equipped by Iran. Could this network of foreign fighters help Iran establish a greater presence beyond the Middle East?
Jerusalem Embassy Move Sparks Turkey-Israel War of Words
Jan 2, 2018
Shira Efron @ShiraEfron
President Trump's recognition of Jerusalem as Israel's capital has exacerbated tensions between Turkey and Israel, writes Prof. Shira Efron (alum, cohort '11). Economic interests had provided incentives for thawing relations in June 2016, but separating economic interests from political differences is harder today given the mistrust between Ankara and Jerusalem.
What the World Can Learn from Chile's Obesity-Control Strategies
Dec 30, 2017
Deborah A. Cohen @DrDebCohen
Nearly 30 years into the ongoing global epidemic of obesity and chronic diseases, Chile has taken the lead in identifying and implementing obesity-control strategies that could prove to be the beginning of the end of the epidemic, writes Prof. Deborah Cohen. The country's success on this front can serve as a lesson plan other countries could follow.
Justice for Florida Farmworkers: Q&A with Dean Susan Marquis
Dec 15, 2017
In her new book, Dean Susan Marquis takes readers inside the fight in Florida tomato fields. She traces the history and victories of a grassroots group of farmworkers and community leaders who wrested better wages and working conditions from major tomato growers and their corporate buyers.
All for One and One for All: Toward a Coordinated EU Approach on Returnees
Nov 28, 2017
Colin P. Clarke @ColinPClarke
To combat the threat posed by returning fighters, EU intelligence and police agencies will need to coordinate to find potential terrorists before they are able to conduct attacks in Europe. Prof. Colin Clarke says the return of dangerous foreign fighters to European soil should be motivation enough for an overarching review of each country’s vulnerabilities.
Drones Could Deliver Change to Africa
Nov 17, 2017
Shira Efron @ShiraEfron
Drones have potential on the African continent to transform urban and rural infrastructure and enhance agricultural productivity, writes Prof. Shira Efron (alum, cohort '11). But deployment of drones in Africa still faces technological, economic, social, and legal and regulatory challenges.
America Is Great at Fighting Terrorism, but Terror Is Alive and Well
Nov 16, 2017
Henry H. Willis @HenryHWillis
When terrorists adopt a strategy of pure terror, it is challenging to prevent attacks like those seen in Nice, Columbus, London, Barcelona, or New York. Instead, writes Prof. Henry Willis, strategies are needed to counter terrorism's ultimate aim, to instill fear, and to remove some of the incentives of those who might be motivated to conduct them.
The Looming Pension Crisis
Nov 8, 2017
Dan Grunfeld
California leads the nation in pension underfunding. The state government has $464.4 billion in unfunded liabilities — the difference between resources that will be available in the state's pension fund and what will be owed to retiring employees. Executive Vice Dean Dan Grunfeld explains that, as dire as the problem is now, it could double over the next 12 years.
Recovering from a Nuclear Attack on a U.S. City
Nov 7, 2017
David A. Shlapak
Responding after a nuclear attack will require having planned and prepared for problems that are very different than those encountered after hurricanes and earthquakes, writes Prof. David Shlapak. U.S. cities are inadequately prepared to handle a disaster of this magnitude.
The Long-Term Budget Shortfall and National Security: A Problem the U.S. Should Stop Avoiding
Nov 6, 2017
Howard J. Shatz @HowardJShatz
Bold promises and even actions that balance the budget for the short term should not mask the fact that the U.S. government has failed to face its long-term budget problems. Without changes, writes. Prof Howard Shatz, the ability to pay for many functions — including defense — will rely wholly on borrowed money.
New York Terror Attack: Can Vehicle Attacks Be Prevented?
Nov 1, 2017
Colin P. Clarke @ColinPClarke
The recent vehicle attack in Manhattan was the deadliest terror attack on New York since 9/11. Preventing every attack is unrealistic, writes Prof. Colin Clarke, but with increased vigilance, cooperation with law enforcement, and intelligence sharing, citizens can help mitigate the threat of terrorism.
Candy Out of Sight, Out of Mind
Oct 31, 2017
Deborah A. Cohen @DrDebCohen
CVS is cutting back on candy at the cash register, making junk food less visible and “healthier” snacks easier to find. Any move that nudges consumers toward healthier choices should be applauded, writes Prof. Deborah Cohen, but CVS could take the lead as a retailer and do away with junk food displays by the cash register altogether.
Checklist of Best Practices Developed to Guide Development of Suicide Prevention Campaigns
Oct 25, 2017
Rajeev Ramchand, Joie D. Acosta
Is your crisis line’s suicide-prevention communications effort working well enough? What should you be doing differently? Some help is available through a checklist published earlier this year, writes Prof. Joie Acosta.
The Moderate Face of Al Qaeda
Oct 24, 2017
Colin P. Clarke @ColinPClarke
Al Qaeda in Syria cut ties with its parent organization to portray itself as a legitimate, capable, and independent force in the Syrian civil war. The group appears dedicated to helping Syrians prevail, writes Prof. Colin Clarke, and now that ISIS has lost its capital in Raqqa, al Qaeda may be the only group viewed as militarily capable of challenging the Assad regime.
China's Field of Dreams in Pakistan
Oct 16, 2017
Rafiq Dossani, Niels Erich
China is four years into joint planning and construction of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, from Kashgar, China to the Pakistani port of Gwadar. Prof. Rafiq Dossani asks, What are the benefits for China and Pakistan and what do they mean for future growth in the region?
The Intersection of Algorithms and an Individual's Rights
Sep 29, 2017
Dan Grunfeld
Data collection, and our reliance on it, have evolved extremely rapidly. The resulting algorithms have proved invaluable for organizing, evaluating and utilizing information. Our new executive vice dean, Dan Grunfeld, poses the question: How do individuals' rights come in to play, when data about their lives is compiled to create algorithms, and the resulting tools are applied to judge them?

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